Copa Sudamericana | First Round
Mar 6, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega
Deportivo Garcilaso win 4-3 on penalties
FT
Narvaez (42'), Rambal (49'), Choi (90'), Palomino (90+1')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Deportivo Garcilaso and ADT.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Garcilaso win with a probability of 60.71%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for ADT had a probability of 18.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Garcilaso win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 1-0 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.88%), while for an ADT win it was 1-2 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result |
| Deportivo Garcilaso | Draw | ADT |
60.71% ( 0.11) | 21.05% ( -0.02) | 18.23% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 55.01% ( -0.08) |
| 58.17% ( -0.03) | 41.83% ( 0.04) |
| 35.77% ( -0.03) | 64.23% ( 0.04) |
| Deportivo Garcilaso Goals |
| 86.66% ( 0.02) | 13.33% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 59.8% ( 0.04) | 40.2% ( -0.04) |
| 63.47% ( -0.11) | 36.52% ( 0.11) |
