Guabira
4 - 1
Nacional

Enrique Hurtado Badani (37'), Hoyos (74'), Peredo Ortiz (77'), Vogliotti (90+3')
Pascua (44'), Salvador Mercado Galvez (45+3'), Leanos (87')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Sebastian Gularte Fros (26' pen.)
Oscar Anez Urachianta (18'), Edmundo Vaca Ortega (33'), Torrico (90+2')
Edmundo Vaca Ortega (64')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Guabira and Nacional Potosi.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guabira win with a probability of 46.69%. A win for Nacional Potosi had a probability of 29.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guabira win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Nacional Potosi win was 1-2 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guabira would win this match.

Result
Guabira	Draw	Nacional Potosi
46.69%	23.56%	29.75%

Both teams to score 60.5%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.95%

41.05%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.56%

63.44%

Guabira Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.16%

17.84%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.41%

48.59%

Nacional Potosi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.64%

26.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.49%

61.51%

Score Analysis

Guabira 46.69%

Nacional Potosi 29.75%

Draw 23.55%

Guabira	Draw	Nacional Potosi
2-1 @ 9.32% 1-0 @ 8.11% 2-0 @ 6.99% 3-1 @ 5.35% 3-0 @ 4.02% 3-2 @ 3.57% 4-1 @ 2.31% 4-0 @ 1.73% 4-2 @ 1.54% Other @ 3.77% Total : 46.69%	1-1 @ 10.8% 2-2 @ 6.21% 0-0 @ 4.7% 3-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.55%	1-2 @ 7.21% 0-1 @ 6.27% 0-2 @ 4.18% 1-3 @ 3.2% 2-3 @ 2.76% 0-3 @ 1.86% 1-4 @ 1.07% 2-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.29% Total : 29.75%