Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Guayaquil City and Aucas.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guayaquil City win with a probability of 44.11%. A win for Aucas had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guayaquil City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.69%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Aucas win was 1-2 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
