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Copa Sudamericana | Second Stage
Oct 30, 2020 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Libertadores de América
AT

Independiente
1 - 0
Tucuman

Romero (27' pen.)
Romero (42')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Carrera (27'), Mussis (31'), Acosta (50')
Carrera (49')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Second Stage clash between Independiente and Atletico Tucuman.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 54.4%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 20.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.97%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.85%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Independiente in this match.

Result
IndependienteDrawAtletico Tucuman
54.4%25.34%20.26%
Both teams to score 45.32%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.55%56.45%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.55%77.45%
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.22%20.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.58%53.42%
Atletico Tucuman Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.21%42.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.88%79.12%
Score Analysis
    Independiente 54.39%
    Atletico Tucuman 20.26%
    Draw 25.33%
IndependienteDrawAtletico Tucuman
1-0 @ 13.97%
2-0 @ 10.97%
2-1 @ 9.32%
3-0 @ 5.75%
3-1 @ 4.88%
4-0 @ 2.26%
3-2 @ 2.07%
4-1 @ 1.92%
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 54.39%
1-1 @ 11.85%
0-0 @ 8.89%
2-2 @ 3.95%
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 25.33%
0-1 @ 7.55%
1-2 @ 5.03%
0-2 @ 3.2%
1-3 @ 1.42%
2-3 @ 1.12%
0-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.03%
Total : 20.26%


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