Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jorge Wilstermann win with a probability of 71.55%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Municipal Vinto had a probability of 11.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jorge Wilstermann win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.41%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.22%), while for a Municipal Vinto win it was 0-1 (3.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jorge Wilstermann would win this match.
Result | ||
Jorge Wilstermann | Draw | Municipal Vinto |
71.55% | 17.33% | 11.12% |
Both teams to score 49.15% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.85% | 40.14% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.48% | 62.52% |
Jorge Wilstermann Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.07% | 9.93% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.14% | 32.86% |
Municipal Vinto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.56% | 45.43% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.72% | 81.28% |
Score Analysis |
Jorge Wilstermann | Draw | Municipal Vinto |
2-0 @ 12.03% 1-0 @ 10.41% 2-1 @ 9.49% 3-0 @ 9.27% 3-1 @ 7.31% 4-0 @ 5.35% 4-1 @ 4.22% 3-2 @ 2.88% 5-0 @ 2.47% 5-1 @ 1.95% 4-2 @ 1.67% 6-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.53% Total : 71.54% | 1-1 @ 8.22% 0-0 @ 4.51% 2-2 @ 3.75% Other @ 0.85% Total : 17.33% | 0-1 @ 3.56% 1-2 @ 3.24% 0-2 @ 1.4% 2-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.93% Total : 11.12% |
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