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Copa Sudamericana | First Round
Apr 9, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estadio San Carlos de Apoquindo

Palestino
2 - 1
Cobresal

Carrasco (5'), Benitez (53')
Berardo (43'), Alvarado (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sebastian Pol (34')
Ignacio Silva Perez (80'), Esteban Varas Moreno (90+5')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Palestino and Cobresal.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palestino win with a probability of 43.36%. A win for Cobresal had a probability of 32.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palestino win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.58%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Cobresal win was 1-2 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Palestino in this match.

Result
PalestinoDrawCobresal
43.36%23.72%32.92%
Both teams to score 61.57%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.65%40.35%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.28%62.72%
Palestino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.08%18.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.59%50.42%
Cobresal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.93%24.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.65%58.35%
Score Analysis
    Palestino 43.36%
    Cobresal 32.92%
    Draw 23.71%
PalestinoDrawCobresal
2-1 @ 8.99%
1-0 @ 7.58%
2-0 @ 6.31%
3-1 @ 4.99%
3-2 @ 3.55%
3-0 @ 3.5%
4-1 @ 2.08%
4-2 @ 1.48%
4-0 @ 1.46%
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 43.36%
1-1 @ 10.79%
2-2 @ 6.4%
0-0 @ 4.55%
3-3 @ 1.69%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.71%
1-2 @ 7.69%
0-1 @ 6.49%
0-2 @ 4.62%
1-3 @ 3.65%
2-3 @ 3.04%
0-3 @ 2.19%
1-4 @ 1.3%
2-4 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 32.92%

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