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Copa Sudamericana | First Round
Apr 8, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio Idalito Oliveira

River Plate
4 - 2
Guairena

Zeballos (15' pen.), Sebastian Gonzalez Cabral (19'), Godoy (36'), Caballero (85')
Sebastian Gonzalez Cabral (48')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Brizuela Baez (41'), Verdun (87')
Candia (13'), Paniagua (43')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between River Plate and Guairena.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 41.16%. A win for Guairena had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Guairena win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result
River PlateDrawGuairena
41.16%24.57%34.27%
Both teams to score 58.91%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56%43.99%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.62%66.38%
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.57%21.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.56%54.43%
Guairena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.98%25.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.32%59.68%
Score Analysis
    River Plate 41.16%
    Guairena 34.27%
    Draw 24.56%
River PlateDrawGuairena
2-1 @ 8.81%
1-0 @ 8.26%
2-0 @ 6.36%
3-1 @ 4.53%
3-0 @ 3.27%
3-2 @ 3.14%
4-1 @ 1.74%
4-0 @ 1.26%
4-2 @ 1.21%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 41.16%
1-1 @ 11.44%
2-2 @ 6.11%
0-0 @ 5.36%
3-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.56%
1-2 @ 7.93%
0-1 @ 7.43%
0-2 @ 5.15%
1-3 @ 3.66%
2-3 @ 2.82%
0-3 @ 2.38%
1-4 @ 1.27%
2-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 34.27%

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