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Copa Sudamericana | Second Stage
Oct 29, 2020 at 10.15pm UK
Estadio El Campin
E

Santa Fe
0 - 1
Emelec

FT(HT: 0-1)
Barcelo (43')
Leguizamon (77'), Ordonez (86'), Cabezas (87'), G. Rodriguez Perlaza (90+3')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Second Stage clash between Santa Fe and Emelec.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Fe win with a probability of 39.63%. A win for Emelec had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santa Fe win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Emelec win was 0-1 (10.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result
Santa FeDrawEmelec
39.63%28.43%31.93%
Both teams to score 46%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.77%60.23%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.59%80.41%
Santa Fe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.36%29.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.31%65.69%
Emelec Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.38%34.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.65%71.35%
Score Analysis
    Santa Fe 39.63%
    Emelec 31.93%
    Draw 28.42%
Santa FeDrawEmelec
1-0 @ 12.48%
2-1 @ 8.05%
2-0 @ 7.59%
3-1 @ 3.26%
3-0 @ 3.08%
3-2 @ 1.73%
4-1 @ 0.99%
4-0 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 39.63%
1-1 @ 13.23%
0-0 @ 10.26%
2-2 @ 4.27%
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 28.42%
0-1 @ 10.88%
1-2 @ 7.02%
0-2 @ 5.77%
1-3 @ 2.48%
0-3 @ 2.04%
2-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 31.93%


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