Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union La Calera win with a probability of 47.83%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Deportes Tolima had a probability of 24.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union La Calera win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.8%) and 2-1 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.75%), while for a Deportes Tolima win it was 0-1 (9.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.