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Copa Sudamericana | First Round
Mar 18, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Heroes de San Ramon

UTC
0 - 1
Huancayo


Villalba (18'), Ortiz (24'), Estrada (28'), Gordillo (78')
Diez (59')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Balta (74')
Balta (24')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between UTC Cajamarca and Sport Huancayo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a UTC Cajamarca win with a probability of 37.77%. A win for Sport Huancayo had a probability of 35.2% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a UTC Cajamarca win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Sport Huancayo win was 0-1 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result
UTC CajamarcaDrawSport Huancayo
37.77%27.02%35.2%
Both teams to score 50.8%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.51%54.49%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.15%75.85%
UTC Cajamarca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.05%27.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.42%63.57%
Sport Huancayo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.5%29.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.49%65.5%
Score Analysis
    UTC Cajamarca 37.76%
    Sport Huancayo 35.2%
    Draw 27.02%
UTC CajamarcaDrawSport Huancayo
1-0 @ 10.5%
2-1 @ 8.18%
2-0 @ 6.7%
3-1 @ 3.48%
3-0 @ 2.85%
3-2 @ 2.12%
4-1 @ 1.11%
4-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 37.76%
1-1 @ 12.83%
0-0 @ 8.24%
2-2 @ 4.99%
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 27.02%
0-1 @ 10.06%
1-2 @ 7.83%
0-2 @ 6.14%
1-3 @ 3.19%
0-3 @ 2.5%
2-3 @ 2.03%
1-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 35.2%

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