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Copa Diego Maradona | Group Stage
Oct 30, 2020 at 10pm UK
Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo
P

Gimnasia
3 - 0
Patronato

Carbonero (41'), Coronel (57')
Coronel (47')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Miloc (39'), Rivero (55'), Lemos (69'), Delgadillo (73')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Group Stage clash between Gimnasia and Patronato.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 40.71%. A win for Patronato had a probability of 29.91% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.14%) and 2-1 (7.85%). The likeliest Patronato win was 0-1 (11.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gimnasia would win this match.

Result
GimnasiaDrawPatronato
40.71%29.38%29.91%
Both teams to score 42.82%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.17%63.83%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.94%83.06%
Gimnasia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.19%30.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.91%67.08%
Patronato Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.89%38.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.13%74.87%
Score Analysis
    Gimnasia 40.7%
    Patronato 29.9%
    Draw 29.37%
GimnasiaDrawPatronato
1-0 @ 13.82%
2-0 @ 8.14%
2-1 @ 7.85%
3-0 @ 3.19%
3-1 @ 3.08%
3-2 @ 1.49%
4-0 @ 0.94%
4-1 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.29%
Total : 40.7%
1-1 @ 13.33%
0-0 @ 11.74%
2-2 @ 3.79%
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 29.37%
0-1 @ 11.32%
1-2 @ 6.43%
0-2 @ 5.46%
1-3 @ 2.07%
0-3 @ 1.76%
2-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 29.9%


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