SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 38.48%. A win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.76%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest San Lorenzo win was 1-0 (11.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| San Lorenzo | Draw | Estudiantes |
| 32.5% | 29.02% | 38.48% |
| Both teams to score 44.5% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.86% | 62.13% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.16% | 81.83% |
| San Lorenzo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.76% | 35.23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.01% | 71.99% |
| Estudiantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.71% | 31.28% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.36% | 67.64% |
| Score Analysis |
| San Lorenzo | Draw | Estudiantes |
| 1-0 @ 11.49% 2-1 @ 6.97% 2-0 @ 6% 3-1 @ 2.42% 3-0 @ 2.09% 3-2 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.12% Total : 32.49% | 1-1 @ 13.36% 0-0 @ 11.02% 2-2 @ 4.05% Other @ 0.59% Total : 29.02% | 0-1 @ 12.8% 1-2 @ 7.76% 0-2 @ 7.44% 1-3 @ 3.01% 0-3 @ 2.88% 2-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 3% Total : 38.47% |
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