Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 38.48%. A win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.76%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest San Lorenzo win was 1-0 (11.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.