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Copa Diego Maradona | Group Stage
Oct 31, 2020 at 12.15am UK
Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes

Talleres
3 - 1
Newell's OB

Tenaglia (53'), Pochettino (78'), Valoyes (85')
Mendez (35')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Scocco (76')
Moreno (30'), Bittolo (74'), Gentiletti (90')
Fontanini (63')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Group Stage clash between Talleres and Newell's Old Boys.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Talleres win with a probability of 44.51%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Talleres win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.74%) and 2-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.95%), while for a Newell's Old Boys win it was 0-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Talleres would win this match.

Result
TalleresDrawNewell's Old Boys
44.51%27.79%27.7%
Both teams to score 45.93%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.59%59.41%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.21%79.79%
Talleres Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.42%26.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.2%61.8%
Newell's Old Boys Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.56%37.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.78%74.22%
Score Analysis
    Talleres 44.5%
    Newell's Old Boys 27.7%
    Draw 27.78%
TalleresDrawNewell's Old Boys
1-0 @ 13.18%
2-0 @ 8.74%
2-1 @ 8.58%
3-0 @ 3.86%
3-1 @ 3.79%
3-2 @ 1.86%
4-0 @ 1.28%
4-1 @ 1.26%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 44.5%
1-1 @ 12.95%
0-0 @ 9.95%
2-2 @ 4.22%
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 27.78%
0-1 @ 9.78%
1-2 @ 6.36%
0-2 @ 4.8%
1-3 @ 2.08%
0-3 @ 1.57%
2-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 27.7%


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