Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Talleres win with a probability of 44.51%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Talleres win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.74%) and 2-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.95%), while for a Newell's Old Boys win it was 0-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Talleres would win this match.