Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alessandria win with a probability of 47.15%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Calcio Padova had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alessandria win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.6%) and 1-2 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for a Calcio Padova win it was 1-0 (9.52%).