Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mozambique win with a probability of 43.42%. A draw had a probability of 30.6% and a win for Zimbabwe had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mozambique win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.24%) and 2-1 (7.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.01%), while for a Zimbabwe win it was 0-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood.
