Zambia
1 - 2
Lesotho

Shonga (29')
Chongo (13'), Sakala (63')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Motebang (70', 88')
Fothoane (20'), Makepe (37')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's COSAFA Cup clash between Zambia and Lesotho, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 50.14%. A win for Lesotho had a probability of 26.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Lesotho win was 1-2 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
Zambia	Draw	Lesotho
50.14%	23.76%	26.1%

Both teams to score 56.88%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.46%

44.53%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.09%

66.9%

Zambia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.16%

17.84%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.41%

48.59%

Lesotho Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.24%

30.76%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.97%

67.03%

Score Analysis

Zambia 50.14%

Lesotho 26.1%

Draw 23.76%

Zambia	Draw	Lesotho
2-1 @ 9.61% 1-0 @ 9.46% 2-0 @ 8.15% 3-1 @ 5.52% 3-0 @ 4.69% 3-2 @ 3.26% 4-1 @ 2.38% 4-0 @ 2.02% 4-2 @ 1.4% Other @ 3.65% Total : 50.14%	1-1 @ 11.15% 2-2 @ 5.67% 0-0 @ 5.49% 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.76%	1-2 @ 6.57% 0-1 @ 6.47% 0-2 @ 3.81% 1-3 @ 2.58% 2-3 @ 2.23% 0-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.94% Total : 26.1%