Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rodez AF win with a probability of 91.66%. A draw had a probability of 6.3% and a win for Challans had a probability of 2.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rodez AF win was 0-3 with a probability of 13.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-4 (12.18%) and 0-2 (11.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.98%), while for a Challans win it was 1-0 (0.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rodez AF would win this match.