SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MFK Karvina win with a probability of 42.64%. A win for Dukla Prague had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a MFK Karvina win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Dukla Prague win was 0-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| MFK Karvina | Draw | Dukla Prague |
42.64% ( 0.14) | 25.41% ( -0.08) | 31.95% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 55.25% ( 0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.57% ( 0.32) | 48.43% ( -0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.44% ( 0.29) | 70.56% ( -0.29) |
| MFK Karvina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.38% ( 0.2) | 22.63% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.75% ( 0.31) | 56.25% ( -0.31) |
| Dukla Prague Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.41% ( 0.12) | 28.59% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.61% ( 0.15) | 64.39% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| MFK Karvina | Draw | Dukla Prague |
| 1-0 @ 9.61% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.14% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.43% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.54% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.65% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.21% Total : 42.64% | 1-1 @ 12.03% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.47% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 5.6% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.4% | 0-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 7.54% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.66% Total : 31.95% |
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