Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mlada Boleslav win with a probability of 38.9%. A win for Hradec Kralove had a probability of 35.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mlada Boleslav win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest Hradec Kralove win was 1-2 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mlada Boleslav would win this match.
