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Czech Liga | Gameweek 13
Oct 29, 2023 at 2pm UK
Adidas Arena

Mlada Boleslav
3 - 1
Sparta Prague

Kusej (24'), Matejovsky (45'), Jawo (86')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Pesek (29')
Kuchta (86'), Sejk (90+3'), Rynes (90+3')
Coverage of the Czech Liga clash between Mlada Boleslav and Sparta Prague.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Zlin 5-9 Mlada Boleslav
Saturday, October 21 at 2pm in Czech Liga
Last Game: Sparta Prague 0-0 Rangers
Thursday, October 26 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Prague win with a probability of 47.43%. A win for Mlada Boleslav had a probability of 28.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Prague win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.41%) and 0-2 (7.87%). The likeliest Mlada Boleslav win was 1-0 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result
Mlada BoleslavDrawSparta Prague
28.05% (-1.465 -1.47) 24.51% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 47.43% (1.457 1.46)
Both teams to score 56.02% (-1.026 -1.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.56% (-0.90000000000001 -0.9)46.43% (0.9 0.9)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.28% (-0.852 -0.85)68.72% (0.852 0.85)
Mlada Boleslav Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.72% (-1.502 -1.5)30.28% (1.503 1.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.55% (-1.835 -1.84)66.45% (1.836 1.84)
Sparta Prague Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.34% (0.251 0.25)19.66% (-0.251 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.36% (0.408 0.41)51.64% (-0.407 -0.41)
Score Analysis
    Mlada Boleslav 28.05%
    Sparta Prague 47.43%
    Draw 24.51%
Mlada BoleslavDrawSparta Prague
1-0 @ 7.11% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-1 @ 6.91% (-0.263 -0.26)
2-0 @ 4.25% (-0.197 -0.2)
3-1 @ 2.75% (-0.227 -0.23)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.166 -0.17)
3-0 @ 1.69% (-0.154 -0.15)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 28.05%
1-1 @ 11.56% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.95% (0.224 0.22)
2-2 @ 5.62% (-0.168 -0.17)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.51%
0-1 @ 9.68% (0.436 0.44)
1-2 @ 9.41% (0.113 0.11)
0-2 @ 7.87% (0.413 0.41)
1-3 @ 5.1% (0.101 0.1)
0-3 @ 4.27% (0.256 0.26)
2-3 @ 3.05% (-0.067 -0.07)
1-4 @ 2.08% (0.057 0.06)
0-4 @ 1.74% (0.116 0.12)
2-4 @ 1.24% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 3%
Total : 47.43%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Zlin 5-9 Mlada Boleslav
Saturday, October 21 at 2pm in Czech Liga
Last Game: Olomouc 4-0 Mlada Boleslav
Saturday, October 7 at 2pm in Czech Liga
Last Game: Mlada Boleslav 2-1 Bohemians 1905
Sunday, October 1 at 2pm in Czech Liga
Last Game: Ceske Budejovice 1-2 Mlada Boleslav
Saturday, September 23 at 2pm in Czech Liga
Last Game: Mlada Boleslav 5-1 Hradec Kralove
Saturday, September 16 at 2pm in Czech Liga
Last Game: Banik Ostrava 2-0 Mlada Boleslav
Saturday, September 2 at 5pm in Czech Liga
Last Game: Sparta Prague 0-0 Rangers
Thursday, October 26 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Sparta Prague 4-0 Ceske Budejovice
Sunday, October 22 at 2pm in Czech Liga
Last Game: Hradec Kralove 1-3 Sparta Prague
Sunday, October 8 at 2pm in Czech Liga
Last Game: Betis 2-1 Sparta Prague
Thursday, October 5 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Sparta Prague 2-1 Plzen
Saturday, September 30 at 5pm in Czech Liga
Last Game: Slavia Prague 1-1 Sparta Prague
Sunday, September 24 at 5pm in Czech Liga


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