Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pardubice win with a probability of 45.69%. A win for MFK Karvina had a probability of 29.35% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pardubice win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest MFK Karvina win was 0-1 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pardubice would win this match.

Result
Pardubice	Draw	MFK Karvina
45.69% ( 0.32)	24.96% ( -0.06)	29.35% ( -0.26)

Both teams to score 55.42% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.38% (

0.12)

47.61% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.18% (

0.11)

69.81% (

-0.11)

Pardubice Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.12% (

0.19)

20.88% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.41% (

0.3)

53.59% (

-0.3)

MFK Karvina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.05% (

-0.13)

29.95% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.94% (

-0.15)

66.06% (

0.15)

Score Analysis

Pardubice 45.69%

MFK Karvina 29.35%

Draw 24.96%

Pardubice	Draw	MFK Karvina
1-0 @ 9.8% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.67% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.83% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.01% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.89% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.63% Total : 45.69%	1-1 @ 11.81% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.25% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.96%	0-1 @ 7.54% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 7.12% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.22% Total : 29.35%