Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Prague win with a probability of 43.26%. A win for Teplice had a probability of 31.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Prague win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Teplice win was 1-0 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sparta Prague would win this match.

Result
Teplice	Draw	Sparta Prague
31.68% ( 0.13)	25.06% ( 0.02)	43.26% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 56.3% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.99% (

-0.02)

47.02% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.74% (

-0.02)

69.26% (

0.02)

Teplice Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.94% (

0.08)

28.06% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.28% (

0.1)

63.73% (

-0.1)

Sparta Prague Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.27% (

-0.08)

21.73% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.1% (

-0.11)

54.91% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Teplice 31.68%

Sparta Prague 43.26%

Draw 25.05%

Teplice	Draw	Sparta Prague
1-0 @ 7.75% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.52% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.18% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.09% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.78% Total : 31.68%	1-1 @ 11.82% 0-0 @ 6.1% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.74% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.05%	0-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.03% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.11% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 4.59% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.62% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.92% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.75% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.44% Total : 43.26%