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Czech Liga | Gameweek 17
Dec 1, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Doosan Arena

Plzen
3 - 2
Jablonec

Sulc (70' pen.), Vydra (75'), Kalvach (80')
Markovic (15'), Vydra (45+4'), Jemelka (77')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Alegue (2'), Nebyla (45+2' pen.)
Holly (17'), Nebyla (29'), Soucek (38')
Cedidla (69')
Coverage of the Czech Liga clash between Viktoria Plzen and FK Baumit Jablonec.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dynamo Kiev 1-2 Plzen
Thursday, November 28 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Jablonec 3-1 Banik Ostrava
Saturday, November 23 at 12.30pm in Czech Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Viktoria Plzen win with a probability of 42.54%. A win for FK Baumit Jablonec had a probability of 31.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Viktoria Plzen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest FK Baumit Jablonec win was 0-1 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Viktoria Plzen would win this match.

Result
Viktoria PlzenDrawFK Baumit Jablonec
42.54% (0.046999999999997 0.05) 26.43% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 31.03% (-0.043000000000003 -0.04)
Both teams to score 51.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)53.01% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)74.6% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Viktoria Plzen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.32% (0.024000000000001 0.02)24.68% (-0.026 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.78% (0.036000000000001 0.04)59.21% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
FK Baumit Jablonec Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.49% (-0.029000000000011 -0.03)31.51% (0.026999999999997 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.1% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)67.9% (0.030999999999992 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Viktoria Plzen 42.54%
    FK Baumit Jablonec 31.03%
    Draw 26.42%
Viktoria PlzenDrawFK Baumit Jablonec
1-0 @ 10.88% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.79% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.61% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.1% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.55% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.37% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.43% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.24% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 42.54%
1-1 @ 12.56%
0-0 @ 7.78% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.08% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.42%
0-1 @ 8.98% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.26% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.19% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.79% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 2% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.95% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 31.03%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Dynamo Kiev 1-2 Plzen
Thursday, November 28 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Hradec Kralove 0-1 Plzen
Saturday, November 23 at 6pm in Czech Liga
Last Game: Plzen 2-0 Bohemians 1905
Sunday, November 10 at 2.30pm in Czech Liga
Last Game: Plzen 2-1 Real Sociedad
Thursday, November 7 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Slovacko 1-0 Plzen
Sunday, November 3 at 2.30pm in Czech Liga
Last Game: Plzen 1-0 Sparta Prague
Sunday, October 27 at 5.30pm in Czech Liga
Last Game: Jablonec 3-1 Banik Ostrava
Saturday, November 23 at 12.30pm in Czech Liga
Last Game: Pardubice 2-0 Jablonec
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in Czech Liga
Last Game: Jablonec 3-0 Teplice
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in Czech Liga
Last Game: Olomouc 0-0 Jablonec
Saturday, October 26 at 6pm in Czech Liga
Last Game: Jablonec 1-2 Slavia Prague
Sunday, October 20 at 5.30pm in Czech Liga
Last Game: Slovan Liberec 0-5 Jablonec
Saturday, October 5 at 6pm in Czech Liga


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