Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aarhus win with a probability of 39.11%. A win for Aalborg BK had a probability of 35.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aarhus win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest Aalborg BK win was 2-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aarhus would win this match.