SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Midtjylland win with a probability of 45.02%. A win for Aalborg BK had a probability of 29.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Midtjylland win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.12%) and 0-2 (7.87%). The likeliest Aalborg BK win was 1-0 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Midtjylland would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aalborg BK | Draw | FC Midtjylland |
29.36% ( -0) | 25.63% ( -0.04) | 45.02% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 53.26% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.56% ( 0.17) | 50.44% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.62% ( 0.15) | 72.37% ( -0.15) |
| Aalborg BK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.6% ( 0.08) | 31.39% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.23% ( 0.1) | 67.76% ( -0.1) |
| FC Midtjylland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.63% ( 0.09) | 22.37% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.13% ( 0.14) | 55.86% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aalborg BK | Draw | FC Midtjylland |
| 1-0 @ 8.14% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.06% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.71% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.73% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.82% Other @ 2.86% Total : 29.36% | 1-1 @ 12.18% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.02% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5.29% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.62% | 0-1 @ 10.51% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 9.12% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.87% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.55% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.93% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.71% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.22% Total : 45.01% |
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