SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nordsjaelland win with a probability of 38.12%. A win for Randers had a probability of 36.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nordsjaelland win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Randers win was 0-1 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nordsjaelland would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nordsjaelland | Draw | Randers |
38.12% ( 0.36) | 25.43% ( -0.05) | 36.44% ( -0.31) |
| Both teams to score 56.19% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.33% ( 0.2) | 47.67% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.14% ( 0.18) | 69.86% ( -0.18) |
| Nordsjaelland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.42% ( 0.28) | 24.58% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.93% ( 0.39) | 59.07% ( -0.39) |
| Randers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.5% ( -0.08) | 25.5% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.65% ( -0.11) | 60.35% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nordsjaelland | Draw | Randers |
| 1-0 @ 8.8% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.43% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 3.95% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.38% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.85% Total : 38.12% | 1-1 @ 12.01% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.27% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.43% | 0-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 8.21% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 3.74% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.62% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.6% Total : 36.44% |
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