Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Midtjylland win with a probability of 38.24%. A win for Randers had a probability of 35.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Midtjylland win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Randers win was 1-0 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Midtjylland would win this match.
