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DFB-Pokal | Last 16
Jan 19, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena

RB Leipzig
2 - 0
Hansa Rostock

Poulsen (6'), Olmo (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Mamba (23'), Baxter Bahn (53')

We said: RB Leipzig 4-0 Hansa Rostock

This will be the first meeting between the two sides since a 3.Liga clash in 2014, but on this occasion, Hansa Rostock will come up against a Leipzig side stacked with talent, and we think that the hosts will make light work of their second tier opponents on Wednesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 63.63%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Hansa Rostock had a probability of 17.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.79%) and 1-0 (7.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.55%), while for a Hansa Rostock win it was 1-2 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawHansa Rostock
63.63%19.11%17.26%
Both teams to score 60.09%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.71%34.29%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.8%56.2%
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.73%10.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.36%33.64%
Hansa Rostock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.96%33.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.37%69.63%
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 63.63%
    Hansa Rostock 17.26%
    Draw 19.11%
RB LeipzigDrawHansa Rostock
2-1 @ 9.73%
2-0 @ 8.79%
1-0 @ 7.72%
3-1 @ 7.39%
3-0 @ 6.67%
4-1 @ 4.2%
3-2 @ 4.09%
4-0 @ 3.8%
4-2 @ 2.33%
5-1 @ 1.91%
5-0 @ 1.73%
5-2 @ 1.06%
Other @ 4.21%
Total : 63.63%
1-1 @ 8.55%
2-2 @ 5.39%
0-0 @ 3.39%
3-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 19.11%
1-2 @ 4.74%
0-1 @ 3.76%
0-2 @ 2.08%
2-3 @ 1.99%
1-3 @ 1.75%
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 17.26%

Read more!
Read more!


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