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Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 1
Aug 29, 2020 at 3.30pm UK
De Herdgang
E

Jong PSV
1 - 6
SBV Excelsior

Timan (86')
Matuta (8'), Kristinsson (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Mendes Moreira (5'), Zwarts (36'), Oude Kotte (53'), de Haas (72' og.), Mar Omarsson (79', 89')
Mendes Moreira (30'), Ormonde-Ottewill (50')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Jong PSV and SBV Excelsior.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 52.77%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 24.81% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.3%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 2-1 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SBV Excelsior would win this match.

Result
Jong PSVDrawSBV Excelsior
24.81%22.42%52.77%
Both teams to score 60.2%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.45%39.55%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.1%61.9%
Jong PSV Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.89%29.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.96%65.04%
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.93%15.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.41%43.59%
Score Analysis
    Jong PSV 24.81%
    SBV Excelsior 52.77%
    Draw 22.41%
Jong PSVDrawSBV Excelsior
2-1 @ 6.32%
1-0 @ 5.41%
2-0 @ 3.34%
3-1 @ 2.6%
3-2 @ 2.46%
3-0 @ 1.37%
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 24.81%
1-1 @ 10.24%
2-2 @ 5.98%
0-0 @ 4.39%
3-3 @ 1.55%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.41%
1-2 @ 9.7%
0-1 @ 8.3%
0-2 @ 7.86%
1-3 @ 6.12%
0-3 @ 4.96%
2-3 @ 3.77%
1-4 @ 2.89%
0-4 @ 2.35%
2-4 @ 1.79%
1-5 @ 1.1%
Other @ 3.96%
Total : 52.77%


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