Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 60.8%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Den Bosch had a probability of 17.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.13%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Den Bosch win it was 0-1 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NAC Breda would win this match.