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Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 3
Sep 11, 2020 at 8pm UK
Goffertstadion

NEC
2 - 1
Jong Ajax

van Eijden (19'), Bruijn (82' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)
Giovanni (80')
Taylor (48'), Musampa (58'), Giovanni (90+3')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between NEC and Jong Ajax.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 49.19%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 28.63% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.79%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for NEC in this match.

Result
NECDrawJong Ajax
49.19%22.18%28.63%
Both teams to score 64.74%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.86%35.14%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.85%57.15%
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.3%14.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.12%42.88%
Jong Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.89%24.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.6%58.4%
Score Analysis
    NEC 49.19%
    Jong Ajax 28.63%
    Draw 22.18%
NECDrawJong Ajax
2-1 @ 9.27%
1-0 @ 6.79%
2-0 @ 6.51%
3-1 @ 5.92%
3-2 @ 4.21%
3-0 @ 4.16%
4-1 @ 2.84%
4-2 @ 2.02%
4-0 @ 2%
5-1 @ 1.09%
4-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 49.19%
1-1 @ 9.67%
2-2 @ 6.59%
0-0 @ 3.54%
3-3 @ 2%
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 22.18%
1-2 @ 6.88%
0-1 @ 5.04%
0-2 @ 3.59%
1-3 @ 3.26%
2-3 @ 3.13%
0-3 @ 1.7%
1-4 @ 1.16%
2-4 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 28.63%


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