Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 53.42%. A win for TOP Oss had a probability of 23.67% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest TOP Oss win was 1-2 (6.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roda JC would win this match.