Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 52.1%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Leicester City Under-21s had a probability of 23.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Leicester City Under-21s win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Harrogate Town would win this match.