Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 40.58%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 31.27% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (10.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
