Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FK Haugesund win with a probability of 40.97%. A win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 33.04% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a FK Haugesund win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Sarpsborg 08 win was 0-1 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FK Haugesund would win this match.