Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HamKam win with a probability of 38.44%. A win for Sandefjord had a probability of 36.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a HamKam win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.9%) and 2-0 (5.86%). The likeliest Sandefjord win was 1-2 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HamKam would win this match.
Result | ||
HamKam | Draw | Sandefjord |
38.44% ( -3.86) | 24.62% ( 0.7) | 36.94% ( 3.18) |
Both teams to score 59.15% ( -1.96) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.14% ( -2.79) | 43.86% ( 2.8) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.76% ( -2.78) | 66.25% ( 2.79) |
HamKam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.3% ( -3.03) | 22.7% ( 3.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.64% ( -4.7) | 56.36% ( 4.71) |
Sandefjord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.52% ( 0.45) | 23.48% ( -0.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.5% ( 0.65) | 57.5% ( -0.64) |
Score Analysis |
HamKam | Draw | Sandefjord |
2-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.41) 1-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.36) 3-1 @ 4.2% ( -0.63) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.41) 3-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.48) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.41) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.28) 4-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.3) Other @ 2.3% Total : 38.44% | 1-1 @ 11.45% ( 0.51) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 5.33% ( 0.62) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.18) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.62% | 1-2 @ 8.3% ( 0.47) 0-1 @ 7.72% ( 0.99) 0-2 @ 5.6% ( 0.78) 1-3 @ 4.01% ( 0.28) 2-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.41) 1-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.12) 2-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.16) Other @ 2.14% Total : 36.94% |
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