Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kristiansund win with a probability of 39.49%. A win for Valerenga Fotball had a probability of 36.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kristiansund win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.24%) and 2-0 (5.69%). The likeliest Valerenga Fotball win was 1-2 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Kristiansund in this match.