Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mjondalen win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 32.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mjondalen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Sarpsborg 08 win was 0-1 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mjondalen in this match.