Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SK Brann win with a probability of 46.57%. A win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 30.75% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a SK Brann win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.87%) and 0-2 (6.28%). The likeliest Sarpsborg 08 win was 2-1 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sarpsborg 08 | Draw | SK Brann |
30.75% ( 0.29) | 22.68% ( 0.11) | 46.57% ( -0.4) |
Both teams to score 64.32% ( -0.25) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.71% ( -0.4) | 36.3% ( 0.4) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.58% ( -0.44) | 58.42% ( 0.44) |
Sarpsborg 08 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.61% ( -0.02) | 23.39% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.63% ( -0.04) | 57.37% ( 0.04) |
SK Brann Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.95% ( -0.3) | 16.05% ( 0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.59% ( -0.55) | 45.41% ( 0.55) |
Score Analysis |
Sarpsborg 08 | Draw | SK Brann |
2-1 @ 7.25% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 5.45% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 3.96% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 3.51% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.92% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 3% Total : 30.75% | 1-1 @ 9.98% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 6.63% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.75% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.36% Total : 22.68% | 1-2 @ 9.13% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.87% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 6.28% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.57% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 4.04% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 3.83% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.55% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.85% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.75% ( -0.04) 1-5 @ 0.93% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.77% Total : 46.57% |
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