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Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 20
Oct 4, 2023 at 6pm UK
Nadderud Stadion

Stabaek
5 - 2
HamKam

Walstad (16'), Bakenga (30', 52'), Naess (58'), Edwards (66')
Edwards (85')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Olav Norheim (44'), Bjorlo (81')
Kongsro (45+3')
Coverage of the Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Stabaek Football and HamKam.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stabaek 0-1 Tromso
Saturday, September 30 at 2pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: HamKam 1-1 Sarpsborg
Sunday, September 24 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stabaek Football win with a probability of 50.06%. A win for HamKam had a probability of 25.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stabaek Football win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest HamKam win was 0-1 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stabaek Football would win this match.

Result
Stabaek FootballDrawHamKam
50.06% (0.842 0.84) 24.26% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 25.69% (-0.834 -0.83)
Both teams to score 54.85% (-0.744 -0.74)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.96% (-0.628 -0.63)47.04% (0.63 0.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.71% (-0.588 -0.59)69.29% (0.59099999999999 0.59)
Stabaek Football Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.17% (0.093000000000004 0.09)18.83% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.73% (0.152 0.15)50.27% (-0.149 -0.15)
HamKam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.57% (-0.994 -0.99)32.43% (0.997 1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.06% (-1.136 -1.14)68.94% (1.139 1.14)
Score Analysis
    Stabaek Football 50.05%
    HamKam 25.69%
    Draw 24.26%
Stabaek FootballDrawHamKam
1-0 @ 10.19% (0.29 0.29)
2-1 @ 9.59% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 8.51% (0.27 0.27)
3-1 @ 5.34% (0.041 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.74% (0.163 0.16)
3-2 @ 3% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-1 @ 2.23% (0.024 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.98% (0.073 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.25% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 50.05%
1-1 @ 11.48% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.11% (0.16 0.16)
2-2 @ 5.4% (-0.123 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.26%
0-1 @ 6.88% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.47% (-0.167 -0.17)
0-2 @ 3.87% (-0.111 -0.11)
1-3 @ 2.43% (-0.132 -0.13)
2-3 @ 2.03% (-0.104 -0.1)
0-3 @ 1.45% (-0.083 -0.08)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 25.69%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Stabaek 0-1 Tromso
Saturday, September 30 at 2pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Aalesund 1-1 Stabaek
Saturday, September 23 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Stabaek 0-1 Brann
Sunday, September 17 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Stromsgodset 2-1 Stabaek
Sunday, September 3 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Viking FK 1-0 Stabaek
Sunday, August 20 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Odd 4-0 Stabaek
Sunday, August 6 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: HamKam 1-1 Sarpsborg
Sunday, September 24 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Tromso 2-1 HamKam
Sunday, September 17 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: HamKam 4-4 Bodo/Glimt
Sunday, September 3 at 6.15pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: HamKam 3-0 Rosenborg
Sunday, August 20 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Aalesund 0-2 HamKam
Sunday, August 13 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: HamKam 0-2 Brann
Sunday, August 6 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien


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