Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stromsgodset win with a probability of 41.18%. A win for Sandefjord had a probability of 33.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stromsgodset win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Sandefjord win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stromsgodset would win this match.