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Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 8
Jul 1, 2021 at 7pm UK
Ullevaal Stadion

Valerenga
4 - 1
Sarpsborg

Udahl (43', 65'), Borchgrevink (70'), Thiago Holm (75')
Tollas (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Nasberg (80' og.)
Thomassen (18'), Naess (67')
Coverage of the Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Valerenga Fotball and Sarpsborg 08.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valerenga Fotball win with a probability of 62.48%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 15.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valerenga Fotball win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.94%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%), while for a Sarpsborg 08 win it was 0-1 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Valerenga Fotball would win this match.

Result
Valerenga FotballDrawSarpsborg 08
62.48%21.84%15.68%
Both teams to score 47.19%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.43%49.57%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.4%71.6%
Valerenga Fotball Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.7%15.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.97%44.03%
Sarpsborg 08 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.71%44.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.64%80.36%
Score Analysis
    Valerenga Fotball 62.48%
    Sarpsborg 08 15.68%
    Draw 21.84%
Valerenga FotballDrawSarpsborg 08
1-0 @ 12.72%
2-0 @ 11.94%
2-1 @ 9.73%
3-0 @ 7.47%
3-1 @ 6.09%
4-0 @ 3.51%
4-1 @ 2.86%
3-2 @ 2.48%
5-0 @ 1.32%
4-2 @ 1.16%
5-1 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 62.48%
1-1 @ 10.36%
0-0 @ 6.78%
2-2 @ 3.96%
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 21.84%
0-1 @ 5.52%
1-2 @ 4.22%
0-2 @ 2.25%
1-3 @ 1.15%
2-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 15.68%

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