Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 47.64%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 27.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 0-1 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.