Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 41.55%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 33.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 0-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
