Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 52.57%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 23.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Groningen win was 0-1 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.