SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 58.54%. A win for had a probability of 21.12% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.82%) and 0-1 (7.23%). The likeliest win was 2-1 (5.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.93%).
| Result | ||
| Heerenveen | Draw | Ajax |
| 21.12% | 20.34% | 58.54% |
| Both teams to score 62.76% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.99% | 34.01% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.12% | 55.88% |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.91% | 29.08% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35% | 65% |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.5% | 11.5% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 63.63% | 36.36% |
| Score Analysis |
| Heerenveen | Draw | Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 5.52% 1-0 @ 4.13% 2-0 @ 2.55% 3-2 @ 2.46% 3-1 @ 2.27% 3-0 @ 1.05% Other @ 3.15% Total : 21.12% | 1-1 @ 8.93% 2-2 @ 5.97% 0-0 @ 3.34% 3-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 0.33% Total : 20.34% | 1-2 @ 9.66% 0-2 @ 7.82% 0-1 @ 7.23% 1-3 @ 6.97% 0-3 @ 5.64% 2-3 @ 4.3% 1-4 @ 3.77% 0-4 @ 3.05% 2-4 @ 2.33% 1-5 @ 1.63% 0-5 @ 1.32% 2-5 @ 1.01% 3-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.85% Total : 58.54% |
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