Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 53.43%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 25.59% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.58%) and 1-3 (6.51%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.