Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 45.04%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 31.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.08%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.
