Euro Under-17s Championship | Semi-Finals
May 30, 2023 at 7pm UK
Form, Standings, Stats
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We said: Spain Under-17s 2-1 France Under-17s
As defending champions, France are not to be discounted at this level, but Les Bleuets' defensive deficiencies are there to be exposed by a free-scoring Spain crop.
Vannuchi's side have their own golden touch in attack, albeit one that was only prolonged thanks to a late penalty last time out, and we expect their title defence to come to an end on Tuesday as Spain advance to a 16th final.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain Under-17s win with a probability of 41%. A win for France Under-17s had a probability of 34.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain Under-17s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest France Under-17s win was 1-2 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
| Result |
| Spain Under-17s | Draw | France Under-17s |
| 41% | 24.38% | 34.62% |
| Both teams to score 59.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
Spain Under-17s 41%
France Under-17s 34.62%
Draw 24.37%
| Spain Under-17s | Draw | France Under-17s |
2-1 @ 8.79%
1-0 @ 8%
2-0 @ 6.22%
3-1 @ 4.56%
3-0 @ 3.23%
3-2 @ 3.22%
4-1 @ 1.78%
4-0 @ 1.26%
4-2 @ 1.25%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 41%
| 1-1 @ 11.29%
2-2 @ 6.21%
0-0 @ 5.14%
3-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.37%
| 1-2 @ 7.97%
0-1 @ 7.25%
0-2 @ 5.12%
1-3 @ 3.75%
2-3 @ 2.92%
0-3 @ 2.41%
1-4 @ 1.33%
2-4 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 34.62%
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