Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Woking win with a probability of 46.63%. A win for Salisbury had a probability of 27.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Woking win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (8.48%). The likeliest Salisbury win was 1-0 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Woking would win this match.
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